I’ve had a couple emails asking what I’m playing tonight. I was not going to post a play here on the blog but I guess it being Monday night and knowing a few people that didn’t ride my plays Sunday are starting for a win that I’ll go ahead and release a play.

The only reasonable bet I can recommend on this game is a teaser. Take a 6 point teaser of Philly down to -0.5 points. If your sportsbook allows open teasers of you have an open leg available somewhere use it here.

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The second week of the NFL weekend, yielded huge profits for online sportsbooks and bookies. This was a text book week for BSPs where nearly all the public teams went down handedly in the early games.

For those who don’t know what a BSP is, it is an acronym for Bar Stool Pundit. The theory is to walk in any sports bar and ask the regulars there who they like in each game. When there is a consensus, everyone thinks the same side will cover, bet the exact opposite.

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Tonight I’m drinking the New England Patriots Kool-Aid big time. This game reminds me of last years game when everyone was all over the Pats against the bears in a prime time game. When it the lights came on and the pressure was on Tom Brady got the job done in one of the Pats biggest challenges of the season.

Don’t let that stuff about the video taping distract you, the Pats win this game and cover the spread. I’m sure Bill still video tapes signals or does whatever else he needs to do to win this game. He will just be smarter about it and have them tape the sideline from somewhere else. I mean this game is at home after all, hidden bugs, cameras and whatever else they need will certainly be in place.

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There are some great NFL match ups this week. I’m looking forward to watching these games and seeing how it all unfolds. While I’ve been eyeballing a ½ dozen games here I ended up finding only 2 plays so far I see enough value to bet.

Play #1 (This is a 2 team 7 point teaser)

Steelers -3 @ home against the Bills
Ravens -2.5 @ home against the Jets

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What a great run we’ve had so far in college football going 10-2 so far after picking up a monster win on the 3 unit play of the month last night, Troy plus the points in the second half. We look to extend this amazing run today as I have 4 premium selections here for you absolutely free.

The first game I like today is Michigan State at home over Pittsburgh U.

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I want to get this post out as soon as posible, will edit my reasoning here in a bit, but didn’t want anyone watching to miss this.

Go BIG on Troy in the 2nd Half of this game.

I see them at +7.5 right now this is a great bet.

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I’ve been eying these Thursday night games all week but decided to see what the touts were on and how the lines would move before making my decision. I’m feeling good about a 2-0 day here on my two Thursday night college football picks. I’ve been on a messed up sleep schedule waking up at 5 or 6 AM each day so I’m very tired right now. No long write up tonight just the picks:

Maryland +17.5 -125 (I bought points at Bet Jam to get this line)
Air Force +8.5 (this line is available at Bodog – it is +8 a bunch of other places and I’d still play it at 8 still if Bodog is not an option).

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Well this day did not start off so hot. I suppose there is still a chance in these early games but it is not looking good. I have one play on the 4PM games that is going to make up for it all. While this is some what of a chaser play this was one of four possible plays that has been on my list since Friday. Anyways here is the play:

Take under 42.5 on the Bears/Chargers.

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Lets start off with 2 NFL picks that I’ve felt good about all week and have been waiting to place at the best line possible.

New York Jets +6.5 at home against the Patriots (+109 @ Matchbook)

First of all the money is heavily on New England here; The Pats are everyones preseason pick to go all the way.

Without needing to say anything further: NEVER bet a road favorite opening week in the NFL. The home dog and heavy public action on the Pats is enough to make this a play on the Jets for sure, but here is some more thoughts:

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Well after watching the first half of the Michigan game I realize now I was way off taking Michigan -6.5 in this game.

I am completely shocked to see this line as:

Michigan -6

Michigan -240

This seems absolutely nuts to me. Michigan is trailing by 25 points after getting completely embarrassed last week. The season is completely over to them right now. What possibly could the coach tell them during half time that is going to motivate them to come out and play hard now?

I’m going big on Oregon +220 for the second half.

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