I’m back! Last year was a great football season and I’m planning to have just as good of a season this year. I have good news and bad news. The good news is that I will be posting my picks for free again this season. The bad news, I won’t be giving many detailed write up, at least not till deeper into the season if at all. I’ve got 5 vacations planned the over the next few months and am moving to Vegas November 1 right in the middle of these vacations. Perhaps later in the season I’ll have more time, but for now I’ll be posting just my picks. Last season it took me quite a bit of time translating my notes into a write up – I did enjoy it and when I have time I’ll do so.

continue reading.....

Registration is now open for the SportsbookProp.com March Madness Contest

Once again this year we will use a Private League Bodog’s Bracket Buster Challenge for our contest. This means you’ll be competing both in their main contest (good prizes) and our smaller contest at the same time.

continue reading.....

This was a very good NFL season with a final regular season record of 43-25 for +16.95 units on posted free picks and so far in the playoffs the record is 2-0 for +2.5 units.

For the divisional championship round this weekend have some sort of action on each game.

Here are my free picks:

Two Team 6 point teaser -110 @ Bet Jamaica

Teaser Leg #1 Packers Teased down to -1
Teaser Leg #2 Cowboys Teased down to -1.5

Risk 1.1u to win 1 u

__

continue reading.....

This post is coming really late this weekend and unfortunately I don’t have much time to share full write ups. If I get a chance later tonight I’ll add to these. I’ll be sure to get my more detailed analysis out earlier for next weeks picks.

Saturdays Bets:
Seattle -2.5 -140
I’m getting this line by purchasing a full point at Bet Jamaica who currently has Seattle listed as -3.5 +100
This is a 1.5u to win 1u bet

Pittsburg +3 -120
I’m also getting this line from Bet Jamaica. For this one I purchased a half point off their Steelers +2.5 +100 betting line.

continue reading.....

For Week 17, I’ll only be recommending plays on games that have some meaning beyond just rivalries and playing for pride.

Let’s start by covering what games actually have some meaning.

In the AFC there are 4 games with some meaning:

Patriots @ Giants
What’s on the line?: New England going 16-0 on the season.

Steelers @ Ravens
Chargers @ Raiders

What’s on the line?: The #3 seed in the AFC bracket. If San Diego wins they get the 3 seed. If both teams lose San Diego also gets the 3 seed. There is about a 14% chance Pittsburg gets the 3 seed which would require a win plus a Chargers loss (unlikely).

continue reading.....

As of right now there is only one bet I like for week 16. I’ll likely have others added on through out the week, most likely close to game time, but wanted to send out this first teaser bet to get things started and also to get this thread opened for game discussion.

Week 16 – Teaser of the Week

Teaser Leg #1 Steelers to -1.5
Teaser Leg #2 Chargers to -2.5

continue reading.....

Even with a small losing week last week, -1.25 units, its unfortunate that this season is coming to an end. We’re left with just two more regular season weeks left and I historically don’t pick many games in Week 17’s (only ones that have something real on the line). Anyways, its been a great season. Heading into Week 15 my posted free picks have gone 40-21 for +17.04 units. Lets get into the week 15 predictions now.

2007 NFL Week 15 Betting Predictions with Free Picks

continue reading.....

Coming off a perfect football week (2-0 NCAAF and 4-0 in NFL) were ready to roll with NFL week 14 picks and betting predictions, but first a quick update on year to date stats: For the 2007 NFL football season posted free picks have gone 39-19 for +18.29 units. Okay lets get into week 14 starting with a teaser bet.

continue reading.....

I’m a bit early this week with my NFL week 13 picks and prediction posts, but I’m more than ready to move on after a brutal weekend. College ball is usually my best sport, although this week it cost me and my free picks. Last weeks NFL free picks were also came in at a loss, dropping 1.08% (1.08u) after a 2-2 week. My 2 losses were not even close, I got totally blown out on them. Heading into week 13 the overall 2007 NFL YTD record is still great at 35-19 for +14.29 units of profit, this is 64.81% straight on win/loss and 63.66% based on weight. This week we’ll look to move forward in the right directions.

continue reading.....

2007 NCAAF Week 14 Predictions and Free Picks – Championship Week

Central Michigan vs Miami Ohio – Played Saturday 11AM EST
This is an interesting line because I capped this game based on match ups, as CMU favored by 4.5. I then peaked at the Sagrin predictor and seen that they have CMU as a 2.5 point favorite on a Neutral field. With this practically being a home game for Central Michigan, I expect this to be worth at least 2 points if not more – making the fair line again about the 4.5 figure I had come up with.
There are a couple things to consider regarding the line.

continue reading.....