As usual, our week 13 college football picks and predictions come off the early betting lines. Later in the week these #’s might not be available, so I suggest jumping on these bets ASAP. This week I really don’t anticipate any of lines on our posted picks getting better for us and can certainly see a few of these lines getting worst.

Week 13 NCAAF Betting Prediction:

Boise State +4 @ Hawaii -4
This is our biggest play of the week as there is no reason that Hawaii should be favored in this game other than public perception. The Sagrin Predictor has Boise State as an 8.5 point favorite on a Neutral field. I have them a bit less as a 6.5 point favorite on neutral field but in any case there is no way they should be an underdog even though they’re on the road here. They have a real defense which should be able to get a few stops and on the other side of the ball I don’t see Hawaii getting to many stops. Boise State has a well balanced offensive attack, but their strength is the passing game; Hawaii is not good against the pass.
This is a 2 unit play and I might consider adding more to have it match my maximum bet size of 3 units later in the week. Although, I’ll wait to hear about any potential injuries or other news on the game before deciding if I’ll add more.
My Pick
Boise State +4 -110 (TheGreek) 2.2u to win 2u.

Arizona State +4 @ USC -4
This is a game where I feel like I must be missing something. I’ve posted on several forums asking for opinions on this game to find out what I might be missing and haven’t come up with anything yet. I really expected this to be 2 either way and kind of suspected that USC might be favored though I did not completely agree they should be. I’m going to be watching the newswires this week to see if something pops up here that I am missing. For right now ASU +4 is to good to pass on, the line is +3.5 at most places but right now The Greek has them at +4. For right now this is a 1 unit play but it could become a larger bet later in the week.
My Pick
ASU +4 -110 (TheGreek) 1.1u to win 1u

Clemson -2.5 @ South Carolina +2.5
I won’t go as far as saying South Carolina is a poor team, because there are only a handful of teams who have had a tougher schedule this season. South Carolina has managed to maintain a winning record, however they are coming off 4 straight losses and a bye week. Right now they don’t have a heck of a lot to play for in this game. On the flip side Clemson’s coach is possibly playing for his job. His team is playing for improved Bowl Game status (likely the Gator Bowl against South Florida) and is looking to revenge last season 31-28 loss in Death Valley.
As far as the match up is concerned I have Clemson favored by 6.5 points on a neutral field. Considering these two teams have developed a heated rivalry I’ll give SC the 4 home filed advantage points and consider this line correct before factoring in the Clemson revenge factor off last years loss, and bounce back from last week plus them having the more meaningful motivation in this game I like them for a full unit play.
My Pick
Clemson -2.5 -110 (5Dimes) 1.1u to win 1u

Connecticut +17.5 @ West Virginia -17.5
I expected this line to be closer to 14 then to 17 points, although I assume WVU new found life in the National Championship game race could factor into the equation here. Most likely they’ll be looking to run the score up to gain some extra points in the BCS. I’m not to sure that this will be a walk in the park since Connecticut has a decent rush defense, and WVU is all about running the football. I honestly feel, this spread is at least a FG to high at 17 and with +17.5 being available @ -110 using the drop down menu at Pinnacle; I’ll take this one also for a full unit.
My Pick
UCONN +17.5 -110 (Pinnacle) 1.1u to win 1u

Two more picks this week for a ½ unit each:
Mississippi +7 -110 (Pinnacle) 0.55u to win 0.5u
Florida State +14 -105 (Pinnacle) 0.53u to win 0.5u.

YTD Stats: Heading into week 13 our NCAAF picks have gone 43-29 for +19.45 units of profit. Last week was one of our rare losing weeks where the picks went 2-3-1 for -1.3 units.

Updates: 12:15 PM EST November 24, 2007

To keep things honest I’ll be counting my UCONN pick in my standings but even at the +21 now available I would not recomend touching this game. Obviously the circumstances have changed an this is a game where West Virginia will be looking to win by as many points possible.

Add on play:

Tennesee +3 @ Kentucky
I’m adding a pick on Tennessee +3 at Kentucky. Tennessee has a chance here still to win the SEC with a victory today and Kentucky has been dealing with injuries and a season of promise really fading fast. I’m making this a 1.5 unit play on Tennessee
My Pick
Tennessee+3 -110 (Bet Jamaica) 1.65u to win 1u

Update November 24 @ 3:20 PM

These 2 games kick off in less than 15 minutes so no time for write ups.
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My Picks:
Georgia Tech +4.5 -110 (Bet Jamaica) 1.1u to win 1u
Oregon -1 -105 (Bet Jamaica) 1.05u to win 1u