I’m a bit early this week with my NFL week 13 picks and prediction posts, but I’m more than ready to move on after a brutal weekend. College ball is usually my best sport, although this week it cost me and my free picks. Last weeks NFL free picks were also came in at a loss, dropping 1.08% (1.08u) after a 2-2 week. My 2 losses were not even close, I got totally blown out on them. Heading into week 13 the overall 2007 NFL YTD record is still great at 35-19 for +14.29 units of profit, this is 64.81% straight on win/loss and 63.66% based on weight. This week we’ll look to move forward in the right directions.

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2007 NCAAF Week 14 Predictions and Free Picks – Championship Week

Central Michigan vs Miami Ohio – Played Saturday 11AM EST
This is an interesting line because I capped this game based on match ups, as CMU favored by 4.5. I then peaked at the Sagrin predictor and seen that they have CMU as a 2.5 point favorite on a Neutral field. With this practically being a home game for Central Michigan, I expect this to be worth at least 2 points if not more – making the fair line again about the 4.5 figure I had come up with.
There are a couple things to consider regarding the line.

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Last week was a rare losing week where I went 2-2 on posted free picks. Despite this loss we’re still having an outstanding season. Heading into week 12 our record on 2007 NFL posted free picks is 33-17 for +15.37 units of profit.

I looked hard at the Thanksgiving games for value this week and I’m having trouble finding it, so lets start the 2007 Week 12 NFL predictions with the games I like the most this week.

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As usual, our week 13 college football picks and predictions come off the early betting lines. Later in the week these #’s might not be available, so I suggest jumping on these bets ASAP. This week I really don’t anticipate any of lines on our posted picks getting better for us and can certainly see a few of these lines getting worst.

Week 13 NCAAF Betting Prediction:

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UFC 78 Odds and Analysis
(odds courtesy of 5Dimes Sportsbook)

Main Event: Michael Bisping (+230) vs. Rashad Evans (-270)

With UFC 78 taking place on Saturday at the Prudential Center in Newark, NJ, MMA fans are discussing what many are viewing as a sub-par fight card. For the second time in the last three UFC pay-per-views, the main event is a non-title bout (the first being UFC 76 where Keith Jardine defeated Chuck Liddell in the main event). This time around, it’s two undefeated 205 pounders going at it in Michael Bisping and Rashad Evans. Bisping is coming off an extremely controversial victory over Matt Hamill at UFC 75, while Evans is trying to rebound from a draw at UFC 73 against Tito Ortiz. While both men feature zeroes in the loss column, both are looking to rebound from controversy in their previous bouts with a major statement this time around.

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Skybook.com (rated B+ on our Sportsbook Rating Guide) has increased their sign up bonus offer to a 100% initial deposit match up to $250 in free play credits. While normally we caution players to avoid sportsbooks offering bonuses that appear to good to be true, this however, is an exception. We strongly recommend this offer, based on the huge +EV a 100% deposit bonus provides.

Skybook offers a bonus like this once or twice per year to attract new players and the offer usually stays valid anywhere from a couple weeks to a couple months before reverting back to a lower standard bonus offer for new players.

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I felt it was very important this week to get my week 11 picks out early this week because this is a rare week where I am taking a bunch of small favorites (This is entirely coincidental because usually I find myself the dogs when the spreads are low). Just a quick update before I get into Week 11 predictions: last week we went 3-0 for +3 units which brings our 2007 NFL season record (on posted free picks) to 31-15 for +16.85.

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We’ve been having a great college football season so far with a record on posted free picks of 41-26 for +20.75 units heading into week 12. Over the past couple weeks I’ve been dealing with some minor health challenges and this week I need to rest up and recover. This means that this week there will be no write ups or predictions with my week 12 free picks. I apologize greatly for this, but in order to stay sharp enough mentally to continue to post winners I need to rest up a bit and overcome these challenges I’ve been dealing with.

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Week 10 of the NFL has lots of great match ups on the schedule. There are four games that the lines are not out for yet: Broncos/Chiefs, Browns/Steelers, Jags/Titans and Ravens/Bengals. I’m looking forward to seeing what these lines will be and certainly will add on to this post if I make some picks on those games.

Let’s get right into the NFL Week 10 Predictions, Analysis and Free Picks.

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We continued to roll in college football in week 10 where we went 5-2 on posted free picks which picked us up 2.35 units of profit. We are now 37-23 for +19.74 units of profit on the 2007 College Football Season, and are now geared up for another big Week 10.

Let’s get right into the NCAAF Week 11 Predictions and Picks:

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